COVID 19 Clinical Research Services – Strategic Solutions, Inc.

COVID 19 Clinical Research - Health economics research

Tel: (+1) 406-577-2107

Marissa J Carter MA PhD MAPWCA President
The US Already Has Reached A Million COVID Cases

The US Already Has Reached A Million COVID Cases

On March 1st I emailed a number of people a model I had developed (see attached Fig 2) for the USA. Many people said it was unbelievable but if you look, it accurately predicts exactly what has happened in the USA. It actually beat the Harvard models hands down. But that’s not the worst of it. Right now, Johns Hopkins is showing about 225,000 CONFIRMED cases. What is not widely known are 3 things: testing backlogs, insufficient testing, and almost asymptomatic cases.

  • Backlog of at least 300,000 tests but probably a lot more
  • 25-50% of the population, mostly young people have C19 (loss of taste/smell) but our case definition doesn’t include those people
  • Insufficient testing that doesn’t count people who have the virus.

So, a quick back of the envelope calculation (this is just one way; you can play with some of the numbers and do your own).225,000 + (300,000 x 0.25) + 225,000 x 1.5 + 225,000 x 1.3 = 930,000This number won’t obviously affect number of hospital admissions and deaths but you can use it to recalculate mortality rates, critically ill rates, etc. Fig 3 shows where we go from here.

I’m sending this to my most trusted friends and clients because the USA is very close to a tipping point beyond which it really doesn’t matter what you do, the result will be very bad.

01. quality procedures

Your decision to use Strategic Solutions, Inc. will be met with quality procedures from individuals who have the education, experience, techniques and skills to provide you with outstanding personal performance.

02. evidence-based medicine

Originally founded by Bonnie Hibschman and Dr. Marissa Carter, Strategic Solutions, Inc. has a firm commitment to excellence and our dedication to writing/editing the words that you need the most, offer to maximize your potential

03.research projects

We also are willing to collaborate in research projects. Areas that we already collaborate in include wound care, ophthalmology, cost-effectiveness of medical interventions, evidence-based medicine, oncology and nutrition, and infectious diseases.

Health Economic Research
Over the last several years we have critiqued hundreds of clinical studies either informally or as part of a systematic review. In every instance we have come across problems — some small, but many that can be regarded as design flaws. We cannot fix design flaws! What we can do, however, is help you plan a study so that it doesn’t have any.

Clinical Research services by Marissa Carter

clinical trial design and analysis

Consulting

For example, is there evidence to perform a credible HE study?

type of study

Cost-minimization, cost-effectiveness, cost-utility, cost-benefit, cost consequence

data input

Obtaining data input

cost effectiveness

Carrying out simple cost effectiveness calculations

modeling

Discrete events modeling

Markov

Markov modeling
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