Vaccines for COVID-19. Part 2: And We’re Off!
Vaccines for COVID-19. Part 2: And We’re Off!
There are currently over 140 SARS-cov2 vaccine candidates (here’s the full list). Many of those will likely fail at some point due to lack of funding, poor efficacy, or unacceptable side effects but it is hoped that sufficient number will complete phase III trials and...
The news that the Omicron strain of SARS-Cov2 has mouse fingerprints all over it probably didn’t rock your world, but it maybe it should. Let’s first explain the mouse part.Wei et al claim that the molecular spectrum of mutations (i.e., the relative frequency of the...
I was heartened to finally see a pragmatic guideline come out of the White House and CDC: reducing quarantine from 10 to 5 days. There’s been some pushback from some epidemiologists and unions, but the truth is if we’re ever going to get back to any semblance of...
We’ve seen a lot of drama in the past few weeks with the rise of the Omicron strain. Some of it may turn out to be justified. This strain has an interesting lineage (Figure 1) that came from South Africa. South Africa has been a source of other strains that never...
This is the first and last time I’m getting on a soapbox. Usually, I try hard to be balanced and objective when writing blogs about medicine or science. Not this time. As we approach Thanksgiving in the USA, we’re more than 2 years into the SARS-Cov2 pandemic. Over 17...
In this blog we’ll mostly take a 35,000-foot view of a number of issues (with some exceptions), and take a long, hard look at how the pandemic will progress, and finally end. Basic epidemiology With the delta variant (strain b1617.2), the virus upped its game. It...
Pandemics are multi-year events that often go in phases. The 1918 flu pandemic had 3 distinct phases of which the second was the deadliest. I have some serious concern that April 2021 through March 2022 will follow that pattern if we don’t reach herd immunity this...
It’s been about a year for us in the USA since things started to go sideways. Where are we? At the beginning of the year I developed a simple empirical model to project a worst-case scenario in terms of cumulative deaths from SARS-Cov2. Sadly, actual deaths are still...